Six Things ‘Equity Research’ Says About India’s Workforce In Its Report

9/1/20231 min read

India’s working age population is estimated to be around 961m out of which 585m are seeking jobs. Creating employment opportunities for such a large population poses a significant challenge for the government despite the unemployment rate being at a 5 year low.

However as per the latest report by Equity Research, India is showing a positive trend in this regard.

As per the Report, there are 6 broad themes which convey an outlook of India’s workplace scenario.

  1. Job Creation :- Trade, Hotel and Transport service saw maximum job creation in the last 4 years followed by the construction sector which is expected to grow by 7.5+ CAGR over the next 5 years.

  1. Top Employers :- Agriculture remains the top employer with 41.5 % of the workforce engaged in Agriculture and allied activities. Construction contributed 12.4% followed by Manufacturing which contributed 11.6%.

  1. Labour Force :- Due to demographic shift Labour Force addition is expected to slow to 6mn by 2030 from 9.5m/ year in 2011-2014. Also it is expected that around 4mn people will shift from agriculture to non agricultural activities during the same period.

  1. Shift in employment:- As per the report according to government data, the economy created 41m new jobs over 2018-2022 outside agriculture. As per the report there’s room for about 3-4m/year shift from agri to non-agri labour.

  1. Skill Development:- Ministry of skill development and Entrepreneurship (MSDE) in partnership with National skill development corporation (NSDC) has built mainly 4 schemes with a gross enrollment of 25mn people in 4 years until FY20. Placement ratio of PMKVY 2.0(2016-20) was 23% which fell to 10% during 2020-2022.

Employment Data :- Total EPFO( Employee Provident Fund Org) active members are 70m and the last 5 years alone have added 48.5m. As per the report this appears to be too high a number in terms of new formal jobs creation and implies improving employment conditions though not net additions.